Universal Functional Regression with Neural Operator Flows

Regression on function spaces is typically limited to models with Gaussian process priors. We introduce the notion of universal functional regression, in which we aim to learn a prior distribution over non-Gaussian function spaces that remains mathematically tractable for functional regression. To do this, we develop Neural Operator Flows (OpFlow), an infinite-dimensional extension of normalizing flows. OpFlow is an invertible operator that maps the (potentially unknown) data function space into a Gaussian process, allowing for exact likelihood estimation of functional point evaluations. OpFlow enables robust and accurate uncertainty quantification via drawing posterior samples of the Gaussian process and subsequently mapping them into the data function space. We empirically study the performance of OpFlow on regression and generation tasks with data generated from Gaussian processes with known posterior forms and non-Gaussian processes, as well as real-world earthquake seismograms with an unknown closed-form distribution.

Broadband Ground Motion Synthesis via Generative Adversarial Neural Operators: Development and Validation

We present a data-driven model for ground-motion synthesis using a Generative Adversarial Neural Operator (GANO) that combines recent advancements in machine learning and open access strong motion data sets to generate three-component acceleration time histories conditioned on moment magnitude ($M$), rupture distance ($R_{rup}$), time-average shear-wave velocity at the top $30m$ ($V_{S30}$), and tectonic environment or style of faulting. We use Neural Operators, a resolution invariant architecture that guarantees that the model training is independent of the data sampling frequency. We first present the conditional ground-motion synthesis algorithm (referred to heretofore as cGM-GANO) and discuss its advantages compared to previous work. Next, we verify the cGM-GANO framework using simulated ground motions generated with the Southern California Earthquake Center (SCEC) Broadband Platform (BBP). We lastly train cGM-GANO on a KiK-net dataset from Japan, showing that the framework can recover the magnitude, distance, and $V_{S30}$ scaling of Fourier amplitude and pseudo-spectral accelerations. We evaluate cGM-GANO through residual analysis with the empirical dataset as well as by comparison with conventional Ground Motion Models (GMMs) for selected ground motion scenarios. Results show that cGM-GANO produces consistent median scaling with the GMMs for the corresponding tectonic environments. The largest misfit is observed at short distances due to the scarcity of training data. With the exception of short distances, the aleatory variability of the response spectral ordinates is also well captured, especially for subduction events due to the adequacy of training data. Applications of the presented framework include generation of risk-targeted ground motions for site-specific engineering applications.