Uncertainty Quantification for Molecular Property Predictions with Graph Neural Architecture Search

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have emerged as a prominent class of data-driven methods for molecular property prediction. However, a key limitation of typical GNN models is their inability to quantify uncertainties in the predictions. This capability is crucial for ensuring the trustworthy use and deployment of models in downstream tasks. To that end, we introduce AutoGNNUQ, an automated uncertainty quantification (UQ) approach for molecular property prediction. AutoGNNUQ leverages architecture search to generate an ensemble of high-performing GNNs, enabling the estimation of predictive uncertainties. Our approach employs variance decomposition to separate data (aleatoric) and model (epistemic) uncertainties, providing valuable insights for reducing them. In our computational experiments, we demonstrate that AutoGNNUQ outperforms existing UQ methods in terms of both prediction accuracy and UQ performance on multiple benchmark datasets. Additionally, we utilize t-SNE visualization to explore correlations between molecular features and uncertainty, offering insight for dataset improvement. AutoGNNUQ has broad applicability in domains such as drug discovery and materials science, where accurate uncertainty quantification is crucial for decision-making.

Convolutional Neural Networks: Basic Concepts and Applications in Manufacturing

We discuss basic concepts of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) and outline uses in manufacturing. We begin by discussing how different types of data objects commonly encountered in manufacturing (e.g., time series, images, micrographs, videos, spectra, molecular structures) can be represented in a flexible manner using tensors and graphs. We then discuss how CNNs use convolution operations to extract informative features (e.g., geometric patterns and textures) from the such representations to predict emergent properties and phenomena and/or to identify anomalies. We also discuss how CNNs can exploit color as a key source of information, which enables the use of modern computer vision hardware (e.g., infrared, thermal, and hyperspectral cameras). We illustrate the concepts using diverse case studies arising in spectral analysis, molecule design, sensor design, image-based control, and multivariate process monitoring.