Automatic selection of the best neural architecture for time series forecasting via multi-objective optimization and Pareto optimality conditions

Time series forecasting plays a pivotal role in a wide range of applications, including weather prediction, healthcare, structural health monitoring, predictive maintenance, energy systems, and financial markets. While models such as LSTM, GRU, Transformers, and State-Space Models (SSMs) have become standard tools in this domain, selecting the optimal architecture remains a challenge. Performance comparisons often depend on evaluation metrics and the datasets under analysis, making the choice of a universally optimal model controversial. In this work, we introduce a flexible automated framework for time series forecasting that systematically designs and evaluates diverse network architectures by integrating LSTM, GRU, multi-head Attention, and SSM blocks. Using a multi-objective optimization approach, our framework determines the number, sequence, and combination of blocks to align with specific requirements and evaluation objectives. From the resulting Pareto-optimal architectures, the best model for a given context is selected via a user-defined preference function. We validate our framework across four distinct real-world applications. Results show that a single-layer GRU or LSTM is usually optimal when minimizing training time alone. However, when maximizing accuracy or balancing multiple objectives, the best architectures are often composite designs incorporating multiple block types in specific configurations. By employing a weighted preference function, users can resolve trade-offs between objectives, revealing novel, context-specific optimal architectures. Our findings underscore that no single neural architecture is universally optimal for time series forecasting. Instead, the best-performing model emerges as a data-driven composite architecture tailored to user-defined criteria and evaluation objectives.

LNO: Laplace Neural Operator for Solving Differential Equations

We introduce the Laplace neural operator (LNO), which leverages the Laplace transform to decompose the input space. Unlike the Fourier Neural Operator (FNO), LNO can handle non-periodic signals, account for transient responses, and exhibit exponential convergence. LNO incorporates the pole-residue relationship between the input and the output space, enabling greater interpretability and improved generalization ability. Herein, we demonstrate the superior approximation accuracy of a single Laplace layer in LNO over four Fourier modules in FNO in approximating the solutions of three ODEs (Duffing oscillator, driven gravity pendulum, and Lorenz system) and three PDEs (Euler-Bernoulli beam, diffusion equation, and reaction-diffusion system). Notably, LNO outperforms FNO in capturing transient responses in undamped scenarios. For the linear Euler-Bernoulli beam and diffusion equation, LNO's exact representation of the pole-residue formulation yields significantly better results than FNO. For the nonlinear reaction-diffusion system, LNO's errors are smaller than those of FNO, demonstrating the effectiveness of using system poles and residues as network parameters for operator learning. Overall, our results suggest that LNO represents a promising new approach for learning neural operators that map functions between infinite-dimensional spaces.