Mixture of In-Context Prompters for Tabular PFNs

Recent benchmarks found In-Context Learning (ICL) outperforms both deep learning and tree-based algorithms on small tabular datasets. However, on larger datasets, ICL for tabular learning cannot run without severely compromising performance, due to its quadratic space and time complexity w.r.t. dataset size. We propose MIXTUREPFN, which both extends nearest-neighbor sampling to the state-of-the-art ICL for tabular learning model and uses bootstrapping to finetune said model on the inference-time dataset. MIXTUREPFN is the Condorcet winner across 36 diverse tabular datasets against 19 strong deep learning and tree-based baselines, achieving the highest mean rank among Top-10 aforementioned algorithms with statistical significance.

DeeprETA: An ETA Post-processing System at Scale

Estimated Time of Arrival (ETA) plays an important role in delivery and ride-hailing platforms. For example, Uber uses ETAs to calculate fares, estimate pickup times, match riders to drivers, plan deliveries, and more. Commonly used route planning algorithms predict an ETA conditioned on the best available route, but such ETA estimates can be unreliable when the actual route taken is not known in advance. In this paper, we describe an ETA post-processing system in which a deep residual ETA network (DeeprETA) refines naive ETAs produced by a route planning algorithm. Offline experiments and online tests demonstrate that post-processing by DeeprETA significantly improves upon the accuracy of naive ETAs as measured by mean and median absolute error. We further show that post-processing by DeeprETA attains lower error than competitive baseline regression models.