Interaction Order Prediction for Temporal Graphs

Link prediction in graphs is a task that has been widely investigated. It has been applied in various domains such as knowledge graph completion, content/item recommendation, social network recommendations and so on. The initial focus of most research was on link prediction in static graphs. However, there has recently been abundant work on modeling temporal graphs, and consequently one of the tasks that has been researched is link prediction in temporal graphs. However, most of the existing work does not focus on the order of link formation, and only predicts the existence of links. In this study, we aim to predict the order of node interactions.

Interpretability of Epidemiological Models : The Curse of Non-Identifiability

Interpretability of epidemiological models is a key consideration, especially when these models are used in a public health setting. Interpretability is strongly linked to the identifiability of the underlying model parameters, i.e., the ability to estimate parameter values with high confidence given observations. In this paper, we define three separate notions of identifiability that explore the different roles played by the model definition, the loss function, the fitting methodology, and the quality and quantity of data. We define an epidemiological compartmental model framework in which we highlight these non-identifiability issues and their mitigation.