Are KAN Effective for Identifying and Tracking Concept Drift in Time Series?

Dynamic concepts in time series are crucial for understanding complex systems such as financial markets, healthcare, and online activity logs. These concepts help reveal structures and behaviors in sequential data for better decision-making and forecasting. Existing models struggle with detecting and tracking concept drift due to limitations in interpretability and adaptability. This paper introduces Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks (KAN) into time series and proposes WormKAN, a KAN-based auto-encoder to address concept drift in co-evolving time series. WormKAN integrates the KAN-SR module, in which the encoder, decoder, and self-representation layer are built on KAN, along with a temporal constraint to capture concept transitions. These transitions, akin to passing through a "wormhole", are identified by abrupt changes in the latent space. Experiments show that KAN and KAN-based models (WormKAN) effectively segment time series into meaningful concepts, enhancing the identification and tracking of concept drifts.

Wormhole: Concept-Aware Deep Representation Learning for Co-Evolving Sequences

Identifying and understanding dynamic concepts in co-evolving sequences is crucial for analyzing complex systems such as IoT applications, financial markets, and online activity logs. These concepts provide valuable insights into the underlying structures and behaviors of sequential data, enabling better decision-making and forecasting. This paper introduces Wormhole, a novel deep representation learning framework that is concept-aware and designed for co-evolving time sequences. Our model presents a self-representation layer and a temporal smoothness constraint to ensure robust identification of dynamic concepts and their transitions. Additionally, concept transitions are detected by identifying abrupt changes in the latent space, signifying a shift to new behavior - akin to passing through a wormhole. This novel mechanism accurately discerns concepts within co-evolving sequences and pinpoints the exact locations of these wormholes, enhancing the interpretability of the learned representations. Experiments demonstrate that this method can effectively segment time series data into meaningful concepts, providing a valuable tool for analyzing complex temporal patterns and advancing the detection of concept drifts.

Analyzing the factors that are involved in length of inpatient stay at the hospital for diabetes patients

The paper investigates the escalating concerns surrounding the surge in diabetes cases, exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic, and the subsequent strain on medical resources. The research aims to construct a predictive model quantifying factors influencing inpatient hospital stay durations for diabetes patients, offering insights to hospital administrators for improved patient management strategies. The literature review highlights the increasing prevalence of diabetes, emphasizing the need for continued attention and analysis of urban-rural disparities in healthcare access. International studies underscore the financial implications and healthcare burden associated with diabetes-related hospitalizations and complications, emphasizing the significance of effective management strategies. The methodology involves a quantitative approach, utilizing a dataset comprising 10,000 observations of diabetic inpatient encounters in U.S. hospitals from 1999 to 2008. Predictive modeling techniques, particularly Generalized Linear Models (GLM), are employed to develop a model predicting hospital stay durations based on patient demographics, admission types, medical history, and treatment regimen. The results highlight the influence of age, medical history, and treatment regimen on hospital stay durations for diabetes patients. Despite model limitations, such as heteroscedasticity and deviations from normality in residual analysis, the findings offer valuable insights for hospital administrators in patient management. The paper concludes with recommendations for future research to address model limitations and explore the implications of predictive models on healthcare management strategies, ensuring equitable patient care and resource allocation.

DRNet: A Decision-Making Method for Autonomous Lane Changingwith Deep Reinforcement Learning

Machine learning techniques have outperformed numerous rule-based methods for decision-making in autonomous vehicles. Despite recent efforts, lane changing remains a major challenge, due to the complex driving scenarios and changeable social behaviors of surrounding vehicles. To help improve the state of the art, we propose to leveraging the emerging \underline{D}eep \underline{R}einforcement learning (DRL) approach for la\underline{NE} changing at the \underline{T}actical level. To this end, we present "DRNet", a novel and highly efficient DRL-based framework that enables a DRL agent to learn to drive by executing reasonable lane changing on simulated highways with an arbitrary number of lanes, and considering driving style of surrounding vehicles to make better decisions. Furthermore, to achieve a safe policy for decision-making, DRNet incorporates ideas from safety verification, the most important component of autonomous driving, to ensure that only safe actions are chosen at any time. The setting of our state representation and reward function enables the trained agent to take appropriate actions in a real-world-like simulator. Our DRL agent has the ability to learn the desired task without causing collisions and outperforms DDQN and other baseline models.