Abstract:As societies around the world are ageing, the number of Alzheimer's disease (AD) patients is rapidly increasing. To date, no low-cost, non-invasive biomarkers have been established to advance the objectivization of AD diagnosis and progression assessment. Here, we utilize Bayesian neural networks to develop a multivariate predictor for AD severity using a wide range of quantitative EEG (QEEG) markers. The Bayesian treatment of neural networks both automatically controls model complexity and provides a predictive distribution over the target function, giving uncertainty bounds for our regression task. It is therefore well suited to clinical neuroscience, where data sets are typically sparse and practitioners require a precise assessment of the predictive uncertainty. We use data of one of the largest prospective AD EEG trials ever conducted to demonstrate the potential of Bayesian deep learning in this domain, while comparing two distinct Bayesian neural network approaches, i.e., Monte Carlo dropout and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo.
Abstract:The diagnosis of Alzheimer's disease (AD) in routine clinical practice is most commonly based on subjective clinical interpretations. Quantitative electroencephalography (QEEG) measures have been shown to reflect neurodegenerative processes in AD and might qualify as affordable and thereby widely available markers to facilitate the objectivization of AD assessment. Here, we present a novel framework combining Riemannian tangent space mapping and elastic net regression for the development of brain atrophy markers. While most AD QEEG studies are based on small sample sizes and psychological test scores as outcome measures, here we train and test our models using data of one of the largest prospective EEG AD trials ever conducted, including MRI biomarkers of brain atrophy.