It Takes Two to Negotiate: Modeling Social Exchange in Online Multiplayer Games

Online games are dynamic environments where players interact with each other, which offers a rich setting for understanding how players negotiate their way through the game to an ultimate victory. This work studies online player interactions during the turn-based strategy game, Diplomacy. We annotated a dataset of over 10,000 chat messages for different negotiation strategies and empirically examined their importance in predicting long- and short-term game outcomes. Although negotiation strategies can be predicted reasonably accurately through the linguistic modeling of the chat messages, more is needed for predicting short-term outcomes such as trustworthiness. On the other hand, they are essential in graph-aware reinforcement learning approaches to predict long-term outcomes, such as a player's success, based on their prior negotiation history. We close with a discussion of the implications and impact of our work. The dataset is available at https://github.com/kj2013/claff-diplomacy.

Using Graph-Aware Reinforcement Learning to Identify Winning Strategies in Diplomacy Games (Student Abstract)

This abstract proposes an approach towards goal-oriented modeling of the detection and modeling complex social phenomena in multiparty discourse in an online political strategy game. We developed a two-tier approach that first encodes sociolinguistic behavior as linguistic features then use reinforcement learning to estimate the advantage afforded to any player. In the first tier, sociolinguistic behavior, such as Friendship and Reasoning, that speakers use to influence others are encoded as linguistic features to identify the persuasive strategies applied by each player in simultaneous two-party dialogues. In the second tier, a reinforcement learning approach is used to estimate a graph-aware reward function to quantify the advantage afforded to each player based on their standing in this multiparty setup. We apply this technique to the game Diplomacy, using a dataset comprising of over 15,000 messages exchanged between 78 users. Our graph-aware approach shows robust performance compared to a context-agnostic setup.