GLEE: A Unified Framework and Benchmark for Language-based Economic Environments

Large Language Models (LLMs) show significant potential in economic and strategic interactions, where communication via natural language is often prevalent. This raises key questions: Do LLMs behave rationally? Can they mimic human behavior? Do they tend to reach an efficient and fair outcome? What is the role of natural language in the strategic interaction? How do characteristics of the economic environment influence these dynamics? These questions become crucial concerning the economic and societal implications of integrating LLM-based agents into real-world data-driven systems, such as online retail platforms and recommender systems. While the ML community has been exploring the potential of LLMs in such multi-agent setups, varying assumptions, design choices and evaluation criteria across studies make it difficult to draw robust and meaningful conclusions. To address this, we introduce a benchmark for standardizing research on two-player, sequential, language-based games. Inspired by the economic literature, we define three base families of games with consistent parameterization, degrees of freedom and economic measures to evaluate agents' performance (self-gain), as well as the game outcome (efficiency and fairness). We develop an open-source framework for interaction simulation and analysis, and utilize it to collect a dataset of LLM vs. LLM interactions across numerous game configurations and an additional dataset of human vs. LLM interactions. Through extensive experimentation, we demonstrate how our framework and dataset can be used to: (i) compare the behavior of LLM-based agents to human players in various economic contexts; (ii) evaluate agents in both individual and collective performance measures; and (iii) quantify the effect of the economic characteristics of the environments on the behavior of agents.

Can Large Language Models Replace Economic Choice Prediction Labs?

Economic choice prediction is an essential challenging task, often constrained by the difficulties in acquiring human choice data. Indeed, experimental economics studies had focused mostly on simple choice settings. The AI community has recently contributed to that effort in two ways: considering whether LLMs can substitute for humans in the above-mentioned simple choice prediction settings, and the study through ML lens of more elaborated but still rigorous experimental economics settings, employing incomplete information, repetitive play, and natural language communication, notably language-based persuasion games. This leaves us with a major inspiration: can LLMs be used to fully simulate the economic environment and generate data for efficient human choice prediction, substituting for the elaborated economic lab studies? We pioneer the study of this subject, demonstrating its feasibility. In particular, we show that a model trained solely on LLM-generated data can effectively predict human behavior in a language-based persuasion game, and can even outperform models trained on actual human data.

Human Choice Prediction in Language-based Non-Cooperative Games: Simulation-based Off-Policy Evaluation

Persuasion games have been fundamental in economics and AI research, and have significant practical applications. Recent works in this area have started to incorporate natural language, moving beyond the traditional stylized message setting. However, previous research has focused on on-policy prediction, where the train and test data have the same distribution, which is not representative of real-life scenarios. In this paper, we tackle the challenging problem of off-policy evaluation (OPE) in language-based persuasion games. To address the inherent difficulty of human data collection in this setup, we propose a novel approach which combines real and simulated human-bot interaction data. Our simulated data is created by an exogenous model assuming decision makers (DMs) start with a mixture of random and decision-theoretic based behaviors and improve over time. We present a deep learning training algorithm that effectively integrates real interaction and simulated data, substantially improving over models that train only with interaction data. Our results demonstrate the potential of real interaction and simulation mixtures as a cost-effective and scalable solution for OPE in language-based persuasion games.\footnote{Our code and the large dataset we collected and generated are submitted as supplementary material and will be made publicly available upon acceptance.