Median of Forests for Robust Density Estimation

Robust density estimation refers to the consistent estimation of the density function even when the data is contaminated by outliers. We find that existing forest density estimation at a certain point is inherently resistant to the outliers outside the cells containing the point, which we call \textit{non-local outliers}, but not resistant to the rest \textit{local outliers}. To achieve robustness against all outliers, we propose an ensemble learning algorithm called \textit{medians of forests for robust density estimation} (\textit{MFRDE}), which adopts a pointwise median operation on forest density estimators fitted on subsampled datasets. Compared to existing robust kernel-based methods, MFRDE enables us to choose larger subsampling sizes, sacrificing less accuracy for density estimation while achieving robustness. On the theoretical side, we introduce the local outlier exponent to quantify the number of local outliers. Under this exponent, we show that even if the number of outliers reaches a certain polynomial order in the sample size, MFRDE is able to achieve almost the same convergence rate as the same algorithm on uncontaminated data, whereas robust kernel-based methods fail. On the practical side, real data experiments show that MFRDE outperforms existing robust kernel-based methods. Moreover, we apply MFRDE to anomaly detection to showcase a further application.

Class Probability Matching Using Kernel Methods for Label Shift Adaptation

In domain adaptation, covariate shift and label shift problems are two distinct and complementary tasks. In covariate shift adaptation where the differences in data distribution arise from variations in feature probabilities, existing approaches naturally address this problem based on \textit{feature probability matching} (\textit{FPM}). However, for label shift adaptation where the differences in data distribution stem solely from variations in class probability, current methods still use FPM on the $d$-dimensional feature space to estimate the class probability ratio on the one-dimensional label space. To address label shift adaptation more naturally and effectively, inspired by a new representation of the source domain's class probability, we propose a new framework called \textit{class probability matching} (\textit{CPM}) which matches two class probability functions on the one-dimensional label space to estimate the class probability ratio, fundamentally different from FPM operating on the $d$-dimensional feature space. Furthermore, by incorporating the kernel logistic regression into the CPM framework to estimate the conditional probability, we propose an algorithm called \textit{class probability matching using kernel methods} (\textit{CPMKM}) for label shift adaptation. From the theoretical perspective, we establish the optimal convergence rates of CPMKM with respect to the cross-entropy loss for multi-class label shift adaptation. From the experimental perspective, comparisons on real datasets demonstrate that CPMKM outperforms existing FPM-based and maximum-likelihood-based algorithms.