Abstract:Ride-hailing demand prediction is an important prediction task in traffic prediction. An accurate prediction model can help the platform pre-allocate resources in advance to improve vehicle utilization and reduce the wait-time. This task is challenging due to the complicated spatial-temporal relationships among regions. Most existing methods mainly focus on Euclidean correlations among regions. Though there are some methods that use Graph Convolutional Networks (GCN) to capture the non-Euclidean pair-wise correlations, they only rely on the static topological structure among regions. Besides, they only consider fixed graph structures at different time intervals. In this paper, we propose a novel deep learning method called Spatial-Temporal Dynamic Graph Attention Network (STDGAT) to predict the taxi demand of multiple connected regions in the near future. The method uses Graph Attention Network (GAT), which achieves the adaptive allocation of weights for other regions, to capture the spatial information. Furthermore, we implement a Dynamic Graph Attention mode to capture the different spatial relationships at different time intervals based on the actual commuting relationships. Extensive experiments are conducted on a real-world large scale ride-hailing demand dataset, the results demonstrate the superiority of our method over existing methods.
Abstract:As an economical and healthy mode of shared transportation, Bike Sharing System (BSS) develops quickly in many big cities. An accurate prediction method can help BSS schedule resources in advance to meet the demands of users, and definitely improve operating efficiencies of it. However, most of the existing methods for similar tasks just utilize spatial or temporal information independently. Though there are some methods consider both, they only focus on demand prediction in a single location or between location pairs. In this paper, we propose a novel deep learning method called Spatial-Temporal Dynamic Interval Network (STDI-Net). The method predicts the number of renting and returning orders of multiple connected stations in the near future by modeling joint spatial-temporal information. Furthermore, we embed an additional module that generates dynamical learnable mappings for different time intervals, to include the factor that different time intervals have a strong influence on demand prediction in BSS. Extensive experiments are conducted on the NYC Bike dataset, the results demonstrate the superiority of our method over existing methods.