Deep Distance Measurement Method for Unsupervised Multivariate Time Series Similarity Retrieval

We propose the Deep Distance Measurement Method (DDMM) to improve retrieval accuracy in unsupervised multivariate time series similarity retrieval. DDMM enables learning of minute differences within states in the entire time series and thereby recognition of minute differences between states, which are of interest to users in industrial plants. To achieve this, DDMM uses a learning algorithm that assigns a weight to each pair of an anchor and a positive sample, arbitrarily sampled from the entire time series, based on the Euclidean distance within the pair and learns the differences within the pairs weighted by the weights. This algorithm allows both learning minute differences within states and sampling pairs from the entire time series. Our empirical studies showed that DDMM significantly outperformed state-of-the-art time series representation learning methods on the Pulp-and-paper mill dataset and demonstrated the effectiveness of DDMM in industrial plants. Furthermore, we showed that accuracy can be further improved by linking DDMM with existing feature extraction methods through experiments with the combined model.

Bayesian Optimization that Limits Search Region to Lower Dimensions Utilizing Local GPR

Optimization of product and system characteristics is required in many fields, including design and control. Bayesian optimization (BO) is often used when there are high observing costs, because BO theoretically guarantees an upper bound on regret. However, computational costs increase exponentially with the number of parameters to be optimized, decreasing search efficiency. We propose a BO that limits the search region to lower dimensions and utilizes local Gaussian process regression (LGPR) to scale the BO to higher dimensions. LGPR treats the low-dimensional search region as "local," improving prediction accuracies there. The LGPR model is trained on a local subset of data specific to that region. This improves prediction accuracy and search efficiency and reduces the time complexity of matrix inversion in the Gaussian process regression. In evaluations with 20D Ackley and Rosenbrock functions, search efficiencies are equal to or higher than those of the compared methods, improved by about 69% and 40% from the case without LGPR. We apply our method to an automatic design task for a power semiconductor device. We successfully reduce the specific on-resistance to 25% better than a conventional method and 3.4% better than without LGPR.

Anomaly Detection for Multivariate Time Series on Large-scale Fluid Handling Plant Using Two-stage Autoencoder

This paper focuses on anomaly detection for multivariate time series data in large-scale fluid handling plants with dynamic components, such as power generation, water treatment, and chemical plants, where signals from various physical phenomena are observed simultaneously. In these plants, the need for anomaly detection techniques is increasing in order to reduce the cost of operation and maintenance, in view of a decline in the number of skilled engineers and a shortage of manpower. However, considering the complex behavior of high-dimensional signals and the demand for interpretability, the techniques constitute a major challenge. We introduce a Two-Stage AutoEncoder (TSAE) as an anomaly detection method suitable for such plants. This is a simple autoencoder architecture that makes anomaly detection more interpretable and more accurate, in which based on the premise that plant signals can be separated into two behaviors that have almost no correlation with each other, the signals are separated into long-term and short-term components in a stepwise manner, and the two components are trained independently to improve the inference capability for normal signals. Through experiments on two publicly available datasets of water treatment systems, we have confirmed the high detection performance, the validity of the premise, and that the model behavior was as intended, i.e., the technical effectiveness of TSAE.