Abstract:Data-driven modeling for dynamic systems has gained widespread attention in recent years. Its inverse formulation, parameter estimation, aims to infer the inherent model parameters from observations. However, parameter degeneracy, where different combinations of parameters yield the same observable output, poses a critical barrier to accurately and uniquely identifying model parameters. In the context of WECC composite load model (CLM) in power systems, utility practitioners have observed that CLM parameters carefully selected for one fault event may not perform satisfactorily in another fault. Here, we innovate a joint conditional diffusion model-based inverse problem solver (JCDI), that incorporates a joint conditioning architecture with simultaneous inputs of multi-event observations to improve parameter generalizability. Simulation studies on the WECC CLM show that the proposed JCDI effectively reduces uncertainties of degenerate parameters, thus the parameter estimation error is decreased by 42.1% compared to a single-event learning scheme. This enables the model to achieve high accuracy in predicting power trajectories under different fault events, including electronic load tripping and motor stalling, outperforming standard deep reinforcement learning and supervised learning approaches. We anticipate this work will contribute to mitigating parameter degeneracy in system dynamics, providing a general parameter estimation framework across various scientific domains.
Abstract:This paper designs an Operator Learning framework to approximate the dynamic response of synchronous generators. One can use such a framework to (i) design a neural-based generator model that can interact with a numerical simulator of the rest of the power grid or (ii) shadow the generator's transient response. To this end, we design a data-driven Deep Operator Network~(DeepONet) that approximates the generators' infinite-dimensional solution operator. Then, we develop a DeepONet-based numerical scheme to simulate a given generator's dynamic response over a short/medium-term horizon. The proposed numerical scheme recursively employs the trained DeepONet to simulate the response for a given multi-dimensional input, which describes the interaction between the generator and the rest of the system. Furthermore, we develop a residual DeepONet numerical scheme that incorporates information from mathematical models of synchronous generators. We accompany this residual DeepONet scheme with an estimate for the prediction's cumulative error. We also design a data aggregation (DAgger) strategy that allows (i) employing supervised learning to train the proposed DeepONets and (ii) fine-tuning the DeepONet using aggregated training data that the DeepONet is likely to encounter during interactive simulations with other grid components. Finally, as a proof of concept, we demonstrate that the proposed DeepONet frameworks can effectively approximate the transient model of a synchronous generator.