Spatio-temporal Prediction of Fine-Grained Origin-Destination Matrices with Applications in Ridesharing

Accurate spatial-temporal prediction of network-based travelers' requests is crucial for the effective policy design of ridesharing platforms. Having knowledge of the total demand between various locations in the upcoming time slots enables platforms to proactively prepare adequate supplies, thereby increasing the likelihood of fulfilling travelers' requests and redistributing idle drivers to areas with high potential demand to optimize the global supply-demand equilibrium. This paper delves into the prediction of Origin-Destination (OD) demands at a fine-grained spatial level, especially when confronted with an expansive set of local regions. While this task holds immense practical value, it remains relatively unexplored within the research community. To fill this gap, we introduce a novel prediction model called OD-CED, which comprises an unsupervised space coarsening technique to alleviate data sparsity and an encoder-decoder architecture to capture both semantic and geographic dependencies. Through practical experimentation, OD-CED has demonstrated remarkable results. It achieved an impressive reduction of up to 45% reduction in root-mean-square error and 60% in weighted mean absolute percentage error over traditional statistical methods when dealing with OD matrices exhibiting a sparsity exceeding 90%.

Directional diffusion models for graph representation learning

In recent years, diffusion models have achieved remarkable success in various domains of artificial intelligence, such as image synthesis, super-resolution, and 3D molecule generation. However, the application of diffusion models in graph learning has received relatively little attention. In this paper, we address this gap by investigating the use of diffusion models for unsupervised graph representation learning. We begin by identifying the anisotropic structures of graphs and a crucial limitation of the vanilla forward diffusion process in learning anisotropic structures. This process relies on continuously adding an isotropic Gaussian noise to the data, which may convert the anisotropic signals to noise too quickly. This rapid conversion hampers the training of denoising neural networks and impedes the acquisition of semantically meaningful representations in the reverse process. To address this challenge, we propose a new class of models called {\it directional diffusion models}. These models incorporate data-dependent, anisotropic, and directional noises in the forward diffusion process. To assess the efficacy of our proposed models, we conduct extensive experiments on 12 publicly available datasets, focusing on two distinct graph representation learning tasks. The experimental results demonstrate the superiority of our models over state-of-the-art baselines, indicating their effectiveness in capturing meaningful graph representations. Our studies not only provide valuable insights into the forward process of diffusion models but also highlight the wide-ranging potential of these models for various graph-related tasks.