Extracting Explanations, Justification, and Uncertainty from Black-Box Deep Neural Networks

Deep Neural Networks (DNNs) do not inherently compute or exhibit empirically-justified task confidence. In mission critical applications, it is important to both understand associated DNN reasoning and its supporting evidence. In this paper, we propose a novel Bayesian approach to extract explanations, justifications, and uncertainty estimates from DNNs. Our approach is efficient both in terms of memory and computation, and can be applied to any black box DNN without any retraining, including applications to anomaly detection and out-of-distribution detection tasks. We validate our approach on the CIFAR-10 dataset, and show that it can significantly improve the interpretability and reliability of DNNs.

Concept Drift Learning with Alternating Learners

Data-driven predictive analytics are in use today across a number of industrial applications, but further integration is hindered by the requirement of similarity among model training and test data distributions. This paper addresses the need of learning from possibly nonstationary data streams, or under concept drift, a commonly seen phenomenon in practical applications. A simple dual-learner ensemble strategy, alternating learners framework, is proposed. A long-memory model learns stable concepts from a long relevant time window, while a short-memory model learns transient concepts from a small recent window. The difference in prediction performance of these two models is monitored and induces an alternating policy to select, update and reset the two models. The method features an online updating mechanism to maintain the ensemble accuracy, and a concept-dependent trigger to focus on relevant data. Through empirical studies the method demonstrates effective tracking and prediction when the steaming data carry abrupt and/or gradual changes.