Effective Predictive Modeling for Emergency Department Visits and Evaluating Exogenous Variables Impact: Using Explainable Meta-learning Gradient Boosting

Over an extensive duration, administrators and clinicians have endeavoured to predict Emergency Department (ED) visits with precision, aiming to optimise resource distribution. Despite the proliferation of diverse AI-driven models tailored for precise prognostication, this task persists as a formidable challenge, besieged by constraints such as restrained generalisability, susceptibility to overfitting and underfitting, scalability issues, and complex fine-tuning hyper-parameters. In this study, we introduce a novel Meta-learning Gradient Booster (Meta-ED) approach for precisely forecasting daily ED visits and leveraging a comprehensive dataset of exogenous variables, including socio-demographic characteristics, healthcare service use, chronic diseases, diagnosis, and climate parameters spanning 23 years from Canberra Hospital in ACT, Australia. The proposed Meta-ED consists of four foundational learners-Catboost, Random Forest, Extra Tree, and lightGBoost-alongside a dependable top-level learner, Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP), by combining the unique capabilities of varied base models (sub-learners). Our study assesses the efficacy of the Meta-ED model through an extensive comparative analysis involving 23 models. The evaluation outcomes reveal a notable superiority of Meta-ED over the other models in accuracy at 85.7% (95% CI ;85.4%, 86.0%) and across a spectrum of 10 evaluation metrics. Notably, when compared with prominent techniques, XGBoost, Random Forest (RF), AdaBoost, LightGBoost, and Extra Tree (ExT), Meta-ED showcases substantial accuracy enhancements of 58.6%, 106.3%, 22.3%, 7.0%, and 15.7%, respectively. Furthermore, incorporating weather-related features demonstrates a 3.25% improvement in the prediction accuracy of visitors' numbers. The encouraging outcomes of our study underscore Meta-ED as a foundation model for the precise prediction of daily ED visitors.

Predicting the Stay Length of Patients in Hospitals using Convolutional Gated Recurrent Deep Learning Model

Predicting hospital length of stay (LoS) stands as a critical factor in shaping public health strategies. This data serves as a cornerstone for governments to discern trends, patterns, and avenues for enhancing healthcare delivery. In this study, we introduce a robust hybrid deep learning model, a combination of Multi-layer Convolutional (CNNs) deep learning, Gated Recurrent Units (GRU), and Dense neural networks, that outperforms 11 conventional and state-of-the-art Machine Learning (ML) and Deep Learning (DL) methodologies in accurately forecasting inpatient hospital stay duration. Our investigation delves into the implementation of this hybrid model, scrutinising variables like geographic indicators tied to caregiving institutions, demographic markers encompassing patient ethnicity, race, and age, as well as medical attributes such as the CCS diagnosis code, APR DRG code, illness severity metrics, and hospital stay duration. Statistical evaluations reveal the pinnacle LoS accuracy achieved by our proposed model (CNN-GRU-DNN), which averages at 89% across a 10-fold cross-validation test, surpassing LSTM, BiLSTM, GRU, and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) by 19%, 18.2%, 18.6%, and 7%, respectively. Accurate LoS predictions not only empower hospitals to optimise resource allocation and curb expenses associated with prolonged stays but also pave the way for novel strategies in hospital stay management. This avenue holds promise for catalysing advancements in healthcare research and innovation, inspiring a new era of precision-driven healthcare practices.

Hybrid Inception Architecture with Residual Connection: Fine-tuned Inception-ResNet Deep Learning Model for Lung Inflammation Diagnosis from Chest Radiographs

Diagnosing lung inflammation, particularly pneumonia, is of paramount importance for effectively treating and managing the disease. Pneumonia is a common respiratory infection caused by bacteria, viruses, or fungi and can indiscriminately affect people of all ages. As highlighted by the World Health Organization (WHO), this prevalent disease tragically accounts for a substantial 15% of global mortality in children under five years of age. This article presents a comparative study of the Inception-ResNet deep learning model's performance in diagnosing pneumonia from chest radiographs. The study leverages Mendeleys chest X-ray images dataset, which contains 5856 2D images, including both Viral and Bacterial Pneumonia X-ray images. The Inception-ResNet model is compared with seven other state-of-the-art convolutional neural networks (CNNs), and the experimental results demonstrate the Inception-ResNet model's superiority in extracting essential features and saving computation runtime. Furthermore, we examine the impact of transfer learning with fine-tuning in improving the performance of deep convolutional models. This study provides valuable insights into using deep learning models for pneumonia diagnosis and highlights the potential of the Inception-ResNet model in this field. In classification accuracy, Inception-ResNet-V2 showed superior performance compared to other models, including ResNet152V2, MobileNet-V3 (Large and Small), EfficientNetV2 (Large and Small), InceptionV3, and NASNet-Mobile, with substantial margins. It outperformed them by 2.6%, 6.5%, 7.1%, 13%, 16.1%, 3.9%, and 1.6%, respectively, demonstrating its significant advantage in accurate classification.

A Novel Hybrid Algorithm for Optimized Solutions in Ocean Renewable Energy Industry: Enhancing Power Take-Off Parameters and Site Selection Procedure of Wave Energy Converters

Ocean renewable energy, particularly wave energy, has emerged as a pivotal component for diversifying the global energy portfolio, reducing dependence on fossil fuels, and mitigating climate change impacts. This study delves into the optimization of power take-off (PTO) parameters and the site selection process for an offshore oscillating surge wave energy converter (OSWEC). However, the intrinsic dynamics of these interactions, coupled with the multi-modal nature of the optimization landscape, make this a daunting challenge. Addressing this, we introduce the novel Hill Climb - Explorative Gray Wolf Optimizer (HC-EGWO). This new methodology blends a local search method with a global optimizer, incorporating dynamic control over exploration and exploitation rates. This balance paves the way for an enhanced exploration of the solution space, ensuring the identification of superior-quality solutions. Further anchoring our approach, a feasibility landscape analysis based on linear water wave theory assumptions and the flap's maximum angular motion is conducted. This ensures the optimized OSWEC consistently operates within safety and efficiency parameters. Our findings hold significant promise for the development of more streamlined OSWEC power take-off systems. They provide insights for selecting the prime offshore site, optimizing power output, and bolstering the overall adoption of ocean renewable energy sources. Impressively, by employing the HC-EGWO method, we achieved an upswing of up to 3.31% in power output compared to other methods. This substantial increment underscores the efficacy of our proposed optimization approach. Conclusively, the outcomes offer invaluable knowledge for deploying OSWECs in the South Caspian Sea, where unique environmental conditions intersect with considerable energy potential.

Brain Tumor Detection and Classification Using a New Evolutionary Convolutional Neural Network

A definitive diagnosis of a brain tumour is essential for enhancing treatment success and patient survival. However, it is difficult to manually evaluate multiple magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) images generated in a clinic. Therefore, more precise computer-based tumour detection methods are required. In recent years, many efforts have investigated classical machine learning methods to automate this process. Deep learning techniques have recently sparked interest as a means of diagnosing brain tumours more accurately and robustly. The goal of this study, therefore, is to employ brain MRI images to distinguish between healthy and unhealthy patients (including tumour tissues). As a result, an enhanced convolutional neural network is developed in this paper for accurate brain image classification. The enhanced convolutional neural network structure is composed of components for feature extraction and optimal classification. Nonlinear L\'evy Chaotic Moth Flame Optimizer (NLCMFO) optimizes hyperparameters for training convolutional neural network layers. Using the BRATS 2015 data set and brain image datasets from Harvard Medical School, the proposed model is assessed and compared with various optimization techniques. The optimized CNN model outperforms other models from the literature by providing 97.4% accuracy, 96.0% sensitivity, 98.6% specificity, 98.4% precision, and 96.6% F1-score, (the mean of the weighted harmonic value of CNN precision and recall).

Optimization Study of Hydraulic Power Take-off System for an Ocean Wave Energy Converter

Ocean wave renewable energy is fast becoming a key part of renewable energy industries over the recent decades. By developing wave energy converters as the main converter technology in this process, their power take-off (PTO) systems have been investigated. Adjusting PTO parameters is a challenging optimization problem because there is a complex and nonlinear relationship between these parameters and the absorbed power output. In this regard, this study aims to optimize the PTO system parameters of a point absorber wave energy converter in the wave scenario in Perth, on Western Australian coasts. The converter is numerically designed to oscillate against irregular and multi-dimensional waves and sensitivity analysis for PTO settings is performed. Then, to find the optimal PTO system parameters which lead to the highest power output, ten optimization algorithms are incorporated to solve the non-linear problem, Including Nelder-Mead search method, Active-set method, Sequential quadratic Programming method (SQP), Multi-Verse Optimizer (MVO), and six modified combination of Genetic, Surrogate and fminsearch algorithms. After a feasibility landscape analysis, the optimization outcome is carried out and gives us the best answer in terms of PTO system settings. Finally, the investigation shows that the modified combinations of Genetic, Surrogate, and fminsearch algorithms can outperform the others in the studied wave scenario, as well as the interaction between PTO system variables.

GTOPX Space Mission Benchmarks

This contribution introduces the GTOPX space mission benchmark collection, which is an extension of GTOP database published by the European Space Agency (ESA). GTOPX consists of ten individual benchmark instances representing real-world interplanetary space trajectory design problems. In regard to the original GTOP collection, GTOPX includes three new problem instances featuring mixed-integer and multi-objective properties. GTOPX enables a simplified user handling, unified benchmark function call and some minor bug corrections to the original GTOP implementation. Furthermore, GTOPX is linked from it's original C++ source code to Python and Matlab based on dynamic link libraries, assuring computationally fast and accurate reproduction of the benchmark results in all three programming languages. Space mission trajectory design problems as those represented in GTOPX are known to be highly non-linear and difficult to solve. The GTOPX collection, therefore, aims particularly at researchers wishing to put advanced (meta)heuristic and hybrid optimization algorithms to the test. The goal of this paper is to provide researchers with a manual and reference to the newly available GTOPX benchmark software.

Hybrid Neuro-Evolutionary Method for Predicting Wind Turbine Power Output

Reliable wind turbine power prediction is imperative to the planning, scheduling and control of wind energy farms for stable power production. In recent years Machine Learning (ML) methods have been successfully applied in a wide range of domains, including renewable energy. However, due to the challenging nature of power prediction in wind farms, current models are far short of the accuracy required by industry. In this paper, we deploy a composite ML approach--namely a hybrid neuro-evolutionary algorithm--for accurate forecasting of the power output in wind-turbine farms. We use historical data in the supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) systems as input to estimate the power output from an onshore wind farm in Sweden. At the beginning stage, the k-means clustering method and an Autoencoder are employed, respectively, to detect and filter noise in the SCADA measurements. Next, with the prior knowledge that the underlying wind patterns are highly non-linear and diverse, we combine a self-adaptive differential evolution (SaDE) algorithm as a hyper-parameter optimizer, and a recurrent neural network (RNN) called Long Short-term memory (LSTM) to model the power curve of a wind turbine in a farm. Two short time forecasting horizons, including ten-minutes ahead and one-hour ahead, are considered in our experiments. We show that our approach outperforms its counterparts.

Optimisation of Large Wave Farms using a Multi-strategy Evolutionary Framework

Wave energy is a fast-developing and promising renewable energy resource. The primary goal of this research is to maximise the total harnessed power of a large wave farm consisting of fully-submerged three-tether wave energy converters (WECs). Energy maximisation for large farms is a challenging search problem due to the costly calculations of the hydrodynamic interactions between WECs in a large wave farm and the high dimensionality of the search space. To address this problem, we propose a new hybrid multi-strategy evolutionary framework combining smart initialisation, binary population-based evolutionary algorithm, discrete local search and continuous global optimisation. For assessing the performance of the proposed hybrid method, we compare it with a wide variety of state-of-the-art optimisation approaches, including six continuous evolutionary algorithms, four discrete search techniques and three hybrid optimisation methods. The results show that the proposed method performs considerably better in terms of convergence speed and farm output.

An Evolutionary Deep Learning Method for Short-term Wind Speed Prediction: A Case Study of the Lillgrund Offshore Wind Farm

Accurate short-term wind speed forecasting is essential for large-scale integration of wind power generation. However, the seasonal and stochastic characteristics of wind speed make forecasting a challenging task. This study uses a new hybrid evolutionary approach that uses a popular evolutionary search algorithm, CMA-ES, to tune the hyper-parameters of two Long short-term memory(LSTM) ANN models for wind prediction. The proposed hybrid approach is trained on data gathered from an offshore wind turbine installed in a Swedish wind farm located in the Baltic Sea. Two forecasting horizons including ten-minutes ahead (absolute short term) and one-hour ahead (short term) are considered in our experiments. Our experimental results indicate that the new approach is superior to five other applied machine learning models, i.e., polynomial neural network (PNN), feed-forward neural network (FNN), nonlinear autoregressive neural network (NAR) and adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), as measured by five performance criteria.