Digital Twin Calibration with Model-Based Reinforcement Learning

This paper presents a novel methodological framework, called the Actor-Simulator, that incorporates the calibration of digital twins into model-based reinforcement learning for more effective control of stochastic systems with complex nonlinear dynamics. Traditional model-based control often relies on restrictive structural assumptions (such as linear state transitions) and fails to account for parameter uncertainty in the model. These issues become particularly critical in industries such as biopharmaceutical manufacturing, where process dynamics are complex and not fully known, and only a limited amount of data is available. Our approach jointly calibrates the digital twin and searches for an optimal control policy, thus accounting for and reducing model error. We balance exploration and exploitation by using policy performance as a guide for data collection. This dual-component approach provably converges to the optimal policy, and outperforms existing methods in extensive numerical experiments based on the biopharmaceutical manufacturing domain.

Adjoint Sensitivity Analysis on Multi-Scale Bioprocess Stochastic Reaction Network

Motivated by the pressing challenges in the digital twin development for biomanufacturing process, we introduce an adjoint sensitivity analysis (SA) approach to expedite the learning of mechanistic model parameters. In this paper, we consider enzymatic stochastic reaction networks representing a multi-scale bioprocess mechanistic model that allows us to integrate disparate data from diverse production processes and leverage the information from existing macro-kinetic and genome-scale models. To support forward prediction and backward reasoning, we develop a convergent adjoint SA algorithm studying how the perturbations of model parameters and inputs (e.g., initial state) propagate through enzymatic reaction networks and impact on output trajectory predictions. This SA can provide a sample efficient and interpretable way to assess the sensitivities between inputs and outputs accounting for their causal dependencies. Our empirical study underscores the resilience of these sensitivities and illuminates a deeper comprehension of the regulatory mechanisms behind bioprocess through sensitivities.