Balancing Performance and Fairness in Explainable AI for Anomaly Detection in Distributed Power Plants Monitoring

Reliable anomaly detection in distributed power plant monitoring systems is essential for ensuring operational continuity and reducing maintenance costs, particularly in regions where telecom operators heavily rely on diesel generators. However, this task is challenged by extreme class imbalance, lack of interpretability, and potential fairness issues across regional clusters. In this work, we propose a supervised ML framework that integrates ensemble methods (LightGBM, XGBoost, Random Forest, CatBoost, GBDT, AdaBoost) and baseline models (Support Vector Machine, K-Nearrest Neighbors, Multilayer Perceptrons, and Logistic Regression) with advanced resampling techniques (SMOTE with Tomek Links and ENN) to address imbalance in a dataset of diesel generator operations in Cameroon. Interpretability is achieved through SHAP (SHapley Additive exPlanations), while fairness is quantified using the Disparate Impact Ratio (DIR) across operational clusters. We further evaluate model generalization using Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD) to capture domain shifts between regions. Experimental results show that ensemble models consistently outperform baselines, with LightGBM achieving an F1-score of 0.99 and minimal bias across clusters (DIR $\approx 0.95$). SHAP analysis highlights fuel consumption rate and runtime per day as dominant predictors, providing actionable insights for operators. Our findings demonstrate that it is possible to balance performance, interpretability, and fairness in anomaly detection, paving the way for more equitable and explainable AI systems in industrial power management. {\color{black} Finally, beyond offline evaluation, we also discuss how the trained models can be deployed in practice for real-time monitoring. We show how containerized services can process in real-time, deliver low-latency predictions, and provide interpretable outputs for operators.

Predicting Fuel Consumption in Power Generation Plants using Machine Learning and Neural Networks

The instability of power generation from national grids has led industries (e.g., telecommunication) to rely on plant generators to run their businesses. However, these secondary generators create additional challenges such as fuel leakages in and out of the system and perturbations in the fuel level gauges. Consequently, telecommunication operators have been involved in a constant need for fuel to supply diesel generators. With the increase in fuel prices due to socio-economic factors, excessive fuel consumption and fuel pilferage become a problem, and this affects the smooth run of the network companies. In this work, we compared four machine learning algorithms (i.e. Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, Neural Network, and Lasso) to predict the amount of fuel consumed by a power generation plant. After evaluating the predictive accuracy of these models, the Gradient Boosting model out-perform the other three regressor models with the highest Nash efficiency value of 99.1%.

Convergence of gradient descent for learning linear neural networks

We study the convergence properties of gradient descent for training deep linear neural networks, i.e., deep matrix factorizations, by extending a previous analysis for the related gradient flow. We show that under suitable conditions on the step sizes gradient descent converges to a critical point of the loss function, i.e., the square loss in this article. Furthermore, we demonstrate that for almost all initializations gradient descent converges to a global minimum in the case of two layers. In the case of three or more layers we show that gradient descent converges to a global minimum on the manifold matrices of some fixed rank, where the rank cannot be determined a priori.