Exploring Key Factors for Long-Term Vessel Incident Risk Prediction

Factor analysis acts a pivotal role in enhancing maritime safety. Most previous studies conduct factor analysis within the framework of incident-related label prediction, where the developed models can be categorized into short-term and long-term prediction models. The long-term models offer a more strategic approach, enabling more proactive risk management, compared to the short-term ones. Nevertheless, few studies have devoted to rigorously identifying the key factors for the long-term prediction and undertaking comprehensive factor analysis. Hence, this study aims to delve into the key factors for predicting the incident risk levels in the subsequent year given a specific datestamp. The majority of candidate factors potentially contributing to the incident risk are collected from vessels' historical safety performance data spanning up to five years. An improved embedded feature selection, which integrates Random Forest classifier with a feature filtering process is proposed to identify key risk-contributing factors from the candidate pool. The results demonstrate superior performance of the proposed method in incident prediction and factor interpretability. Comprehensive analysis is conducted upon the key factors, which could help maritime stakeholders formulate management strategies for incident prevenion.

MA-Unet: An improved version of Unet based on multi-scale and attention mechanism for medical image segmentation

Although convolutional neural networks (CNNs) are promoting the development of medical image semantic segmentation, the standard model still has some shortcomings. First, the feature mapping from the encoder and decoder sub-networks in the skip connection operation has a large semantic difference. Second, the remote feature dependence is not effectively modeled. Third, the global context information of different scales is ignored. In this paper, we try to eliminate semantic ambiguity in skip connection operations by adding attention gates (AGs), and use attention mechanisms to combine local features with their corresponding global dependencies, explicitly model the dependencies between channels and use multi-scale predictive fusion to utilize global information at different scales. Compared with other state-of-the-art segmentation networks, our model obtains better segmentation performance while introducing fewer parameters.