Abstract:We consider the problem of using SciML to predict solutions of high Mach fluid flows over irregular geometries. In this setting, data is limited, and so it is desirable for models to perform well in the low-data setting. We show that Neural Basis Functions (NBF), which learns a basis of behavior modes from the data and then uses this basis to make predictions, is more effective than a basis-unaware baseline model. In addition, we identify continuing challenges in the space of predicting solutions for this type of problem.
Abstract:High-fidelity computational simulations and physical experiments of hypersonic flows are resource intensive. Training scientific machine learning (SciML) models on limited high-fidelity data offers one approach to rapidly predict behaviors for situations that have not been seen before. However, high-fidelity data is itself in limited quantity to validate all outputs of the SciML model in unexplored input space. As such, an uncertainty-aware SciML model is desired. The SciML model's output uncertainties could then be used to assess the reliability and confidence of the model's predictions. In this study, we extend a DeepONet using three different uncertainty quantification mechanisms: mean-variance estimation, evidential uncertainty, and ensembling. The uncertainty aware DeepONet models are trained and evaluated on the hypersonic flow around a blunt cone object with data generated via computational fluid dynamics over a wide range of Mach numbers and altitudes. We find that ensembling outperforms the other two uncertainty models in terms of minimizing error and calibrating uncertainty in both interpolative and extrapolative regimes.