Clustering Dynamics for Improved Speed Prediction Deriving from Topographical GPS Registrations

A persistent challenge in the field of Intelligent Transportation Systems is to extract accurate traffic insights from geographic regions with scarce or no data coverage. To this end, we propose solutions for speed prediction using sparse GPS data points and their associated topographical and road design features. Our goal is to investigate whether we can use similarities in the terrain and infrastructure to train a machine learning model that can predict speed in regions where we lack transportation data. For this we create a Temporally Orientated Speed Dictionary Centered on Topographically Clustered Roads, which helps us to provide speed correlations to selected feature configurations. Our results show qualitative and quantitative improvement over new and standard regression methods. The presented framework provides a fresh perspective on devising strategies for missing data traffic analysis.

SWMLP: Shared Weight Multilayer Perceptron for Car Trajectory Speed Prediction using Road Topographical Features

Although traffic is one of the massively collected data, it is often only available for specific regions. One concern is that, although there are studies that give good results for these data, the data from these regions may not be sufficiently representative to describe all the traffic patterns in the rest of the world. In quest of addressing this concern, we propose a speed prediction method that is independent of large historical speed data. To predict a vehicle's speed, we use the trajectory road topographical features to fit a Shared Weight Multilayer Perceptron learning model. Our results show significant improvement, both qualitative and quantitative, over standard regression analysis. Moreover, the proposed framework sheds new light on the way to design new approaches for traffic analysis.