Abstract:In this work, we develop a scalable approach for a flexible latent factor model for high-dimensional dynamical systems. Each latent factor process has its own correlation and variance parameters, and the orthogonal factor loading matrix can be either fixed or estimated. We utilize an orthogonal factor loading matrix that avoids computing the inversion of the posterior covariance matrix at each time of the Kalman filter, and derive closed-form expressions in an expectation-maximization algorithm for parameter estimation, which substantially reduces the computational complexity without approximation. Our study is motivated by inversely estimating slow slip events from geodetic data, such as continuous GPS measurements. Extensive simulated studies illustrate higher accuracy and scalability of our approach compared to alternatives. By applying our method to geodetic measurements in the Cascadia region, our estimated slip better agrees with independently measured seismic data of tremor events. The substantial acceleration from our method enables the use of massive noisy data for geological hazard quantification and other applications.
Abstract:Recent years have seen a significant increase in the use of machine intelligence for predicting electronic structure, molecular force fields, and the physicochemical properties of various condensed systems. However, substantial challenges remain in developing a comprehensive framework capable of handling a wide range of atomic compositions and thermodynamic conditions. This perspective discusses potential future developments in liquid-state theories leveraging on recent advancements of functional machine learning. By harnessing the strengths of theoretical analysis and machine learning techniques including surrogate models, dimension reduction and uncertainty quantification, we envision that liquid-state theories will gain significant improvements in accuracy, scalability and computational efficiency, enabling their broader applications across diverse materials and chemical systems.