Abstract:Time series motifs are used for discovering higher-order structures of time series data. Based on time series motifs, the motif embedding correlation field (MECF) is proposed to characterize higher-order temporal structures of dynamical system time series. A MECF-based unsupervised learning approach is applied in locating the source of the forced oscillation (FO), a periodic disturbance that detrimentally impacts power grids. Locating the FO source is imperative for system stability. Compared with the Fourier analysis, the MECF-based unsupervised learning is applicable under various FO situations, including the single FO, FO with resonance, and multiple sources FOs. The MECF-based unsupervised learning is a data-driven approach without any prior knowledge requirement of system models or typologies. Tests on the UK high-voltage transmission grid illustrate the effectiveness of MECF-based unsupervised learning. In addition, the impacts of coupling strength and measurement noise on locating the FO source by the MECF-based unsupervised learning are investigated.
Abstract:Transient stability prediction is critically essential to the fast online assessment and maintaining the stable operation in power systems. The wide deployment of phasor measurement units (PMUs) promotes the development of data-driven approaches for transient stability assessment. This paper proposes the temporal and topological embedding deep neural network (TTEDNN) model to forecast transient stability with the early transient dynamics. The TTEDNN model can accurately and efficiently predict the transient stability by extracting the temporal and topological features from the time-series data of the early transient dynamics. The grid-informed adjacency matrix is used to incorporate the power grid structural and electrical parameter information. The transient dynamics simulation environments under the single-node and multiple-node perturbations are used to test the performance of the TTEDNN model for the IEEE 39-bus and IEEE 118-bus power systems. The results show that the TTEDNN model has the best and most robust prediction performance. Furthermore, the TTEDNN model also demonstrates the transfer capability to predict the transient stability in the more complicated transient dynamics simulation environments.