EDformer: Embedded Decomposition Transformer for Interpretable Multivariate Time Series Predictions

Time series forecasting is a crucial challenge with significant applications in areas such as weather prediction, stock market analysis, and scientific simulations. This paper introduces an embedded decomposed transformer, 'EDformer', for multivariate time series forecasting tasks. Without altering the fundamental elements, we reuse the Transformer architecture and consider the capable functions of its constituent parts in this work. Edformer first decomposes the input multivariate signal into seasonal and trend components. Next, the prominent multivariate seasonal component is reconstructed across the reverse dimensions, followed by applying the attention mechanism and feed-forward network in the encoder stage. In particular, the feed-forward network is used for each variable frame to learn nonlinear representations, while the attention mechanism uses the time points of individual seasonal series embedded within variate frames to capture multivariate correlations. Therefore, the trend signal is added with projection and performs the final forecasting. The EDformer model obtains state-of-the-art predicting results in terms of accuracy and efficiency on complex real-world time series datasets. This paper also addresses model explainability techniques to provide insights into how the model makes its predictions and why specific features or time steps are important, enhancing the interpretability and trustworthiness of the forecasting results.

UAV Images Dataset for Moving Object Detection from Moving Cameras

This paper presents a new high resolution aerial images dataset in which moving objects are labelled manually. It aims to contribute to the evaluation of the moving object detection methods for moving cameras. The problem of recognizing moving objects from aerial images is one of the important issues in computer vision. The biggest problem in the images taken by UAV is that the background is constantly variable due to camera movement. There are various datasets in the literature in which proposed methods for motion detection are evaluated. Prepared dataset consists of challenging images containing small targets compared to other datasets. Two methods in the literature have been tested for the prepared dataset. In addition, a simpler method compared to these methods has been proposed for moving object object in this paper.