Challenges in the Differential Classification of Individual Diagnoses from Co-Occurring Autism and ADHD Using Survey Data

Autism and Attention-Deficit Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD) are two of the most commonly observed neurodevelopmental conditions in childhood. Providing a specific computational assessment to distinguish between the two can prove difficult and time intensive. Given the high prevalence of their co-occurrence, there is a need for scalable and accessible methods for distinguishing the co-occurrence of autism and ADHD from individual diagnoses. The first step is to identify a core set of features that can serve as the basis for behavioral feature extraction. We trained machine learning models on data from the National Survey of Children's Health to identify behaviors to target as features in automated clinical decision support systems. A model trained on the binary task of distinguishing either developmental delay (autism or ADHD) vs. neither achieved sensitivity >92% and specificity >94%, while a model trained on the 4-way classification task of autism vs. ADHD vs. both vs. none demonstrated >65% sensitivity and >66% specificity. While the performance of the binary model was respectable, the relatively low performance in the differential classification of autism and ADHD highlights the challenges that persist in achieving specificity within clinical decision support tools for developmental delays. Nevertheless, this study demonstrates the potential of applying behavioral questionnaires not traditionally used for clinical purposes towards supporting digital screening assessments for pediatric developmental delays.