Electrocardiogram-based diagnosis of liver diseases: an externally validated and explainable machine learning approach

Background: Liver diseases are a major global health concern, often diagnosed using resource-intensive methods. Electrocardiogram (ECG) data, widely accessible and non-invasive, offers potential as a diagnostic tool for liver diseases, leveraging the physiological connections between cardiovascular and hepatic health. Methods: This study applies machine learning models to ECG data for the diagnosis of liver diseases. The pipeline, combining tree-based models with Shapley values for explainability, was trained, internally validated, and externally validated on an independent cohort, demonstrating robust generalizability. Findings: Our results demonstrate the potential of ECG to derive biomarkers to diagnose liver diseases. Shapley values revealed key ECG features contributing to model predictions, highlighting already known connections between cardiovascular biomarkers and hepatic conditions as well as providing new ones. Furthermore, our approach holds promise as a scalable and affordable solution for liver disease detection, particularly in resource-limited settings. Interpretation: This study underscores the feasibility of leveraging ECG features and machine learning to enhance the diagnosis of liver diseases. By providing interpretable insights into cardiovascular-liver interactions, the approach bridges existing gaps in non-invasive diagnostics, offering implications for broader systemic disease monitoring.