Abstract:The power output of a wind turbine depends on a variety of factors, including wind speed at different heights, wind direction, temperature and turbine properties. Wind speed and direction, in particular, have complex cycles and fluctuate dramatically, leading to large uncertainties in wind power output. This study uses variational mode decomposition (VMD) to decompose the wind power series and Temporal fusion transformer (TFT) to forecast wind power for the next 1h, 3h and 6h. The experimental results show that VMD outperforms other decomposition algorithms and the TFT model outperforms other decomposition models.
Abstract:Energy demand is increasing dramatically as global urbanization progresses.Solar energy is a clean energy source with low production and maintenance costs.Accurately predicted PV generation is of great importance for grid integration.Recent day-ahead PV forecasting studies mainly include generation data decomposition, additional meteorological and equipment features, improvement and integration of ANN-based models.We proposed a MSTL-TFT method for day-ahead PV forecasting. The results are better than any of the other studies we have surveyed on day-ahead DKASC PV forecasting.
Abstract:Modeling forests using historical data allows for more accurately evolution analysis, thus providing an important basis for other studies. As a recognized and effective tool, remote sensing plays an important role in forestry analysis. We can use it to derive information about the forest, including tree type, coverage and canopy density. There are many forest time series modeling studies using statistic values, but few using remote sensing images. Image prediction digital twin is an implementation of digital twin, which aims to predict future images bases on historical data. In this paper, we propose an LSTM-based digital twin approach for forest modeling, using Landsat 7 remote sensing image within 20 years. The experimental results show that the prediction twin method in this paper can effectively predict the future images of study area.