Gaussian Process Regression-Based Lithium-Ion Battery End-of-Life Prediction Model under Various Operating Conditions

For the efficient and safe use of lithium-ion batteries, diagnosing their current state and predicting future states are crucial. Although there exist many models for the prediction of battery cycle life, they typically have very complex input structures, making it very difficult and expensive to develop such models. As an alternative, in this work, a model that predicts the nominal end-of-life using only operating conditions as input is proposed. Specifically, a total of 100 battery degradation data were generated using a pseudo two-dimensional model with three major operating conditions: charging C-rate, ambient temperature and depth-of-discharge. Then, a Gaussian process regression-based model was developed to predict the nominal end-of-life using these operating conditions as the inputs. To improve the model accuracy, novel kernels were proposed, which are tailored to each operating condition. The proposed kernels reduced the lifetime prediction error by 46.62% compared to the conventional kernels.

Attention Mechanism for Lithium-Ion Battery Lifespan Prediction: Temporal and Cyclic Attention

Accurately predicting the lifespan of lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) is pivotal for optimizing usage and preventing accidents. Previous studies in constructing prediction models often relied on inputs challenging to measure in real-time operations and failed to capture intra-cycle and inter-cycle data patterns, essential features for accurate predictions, comprehensively. In this study, we employ attention mechanisms (AM) to develop data-driven models for predicting LIB lifespan using easily measurable inputs such as voltage, current, temperature, and capacity data. The developed model integrates recurrent neural network (RNN) and convolutional neural network (CNN) components, featuring two types of attention mechanisms: temporal attention (TA) and cyclic attention (CA). The inclusion of TA aims to identify important time steps within each cycle by scoring the hidden states of the RNN, whereas CA strives to capture key features of inter-cycle correlations through self-attention (SA). This enhances model accuracy and elucidates critical features in the input data. To validate our method, we apply it to publicly available cycling data consisting of three batches of cycling modes. The calculated TA scores highlight the rest phase as a key characteristic distinguishing LIB data among different batches. Additionally, CA scores reveal variations in the importance of cycles across batches. By leveraging CA scores, we explore the potential to reduce the number of cycles in the input data. The single-head and multi-head attentions enable us to decrease the input dimension from 100 to 50 and 30 cycles, respectively.