Epidemic Forecasting with a Hybrid Deep Learning Method Using CNN LSTM With WOA GWO Optimization: Global COVID-19 Case Study

Effective epidemic modeling is essential for managing public health crises, requiring robust methods to predict disease spread and optimize resource allocation. This study introduces a novel deep learning framework that advances time series forecasting for infectious diseases, with its application to COVID 19 data as a critical case study. Our hybrid approach integrates Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) and Long Short Term Memory (LSTM) models to capture spatial and temporal dynamics of disease transmission across diverse regions. The CNN extracts spatial features from raw epidemiological data, while the LSTM models temporal patterns, yielding precise and adaptable predictions. To maximize performance, we employ a hybrid optimization strategy combining the Whale Optimization Algorithm (WOA) and Gray Wolf Optimization (GWO) to fine tune hyperparameters, such as learning rates, batch sizes, and training epochs enhancing model efficiency and accuracy. Applied to COVID 19 case data from 24 countries across six continents, our method outperforms established benchmarks, including ARIMA and standalone LSTM models, with statistically significant gains in predictive accuracy (e.g., reduced RMSE). This framework demonstrates its potential as a versatile method for forecasting epidemic trends, offering insights for resource planning and decision making in both historical contexts, like the COVID 19 pandemic, and future outbreaks.

Knowledge Distillation and Enhanced Subdomain Adaptation Using Graph Convolutional Network for Resource-Constrained Bearing Fault Diagnosis

Bearing fault diagnosis under varying working conditions faces challenges, including a lack of labeled data, distribution discrepancies, and resource constraints. To address these issues, we propose a progressive knowledge distillation framework that transfers knowledge from a complex teacher model, utilizing a Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) with Autoregressive moving average (ARMA) filters, to a compact and efficient student model. To mitigate distribution discrepancies and labeling uncertainty, we introduce Enhanced Local Maximum Mean Squared Discrepancy (ELMMSD), which leverages mean and variance statistics in the Reproducing Kernel Hilbert Space (RKHS) and incorporates a priori probability distributions between labels. This approach increases the distance between clustering centers, bridges subdomain gaps, and enhances subdomain alignment reliability. Experimental results on benchmark datasets (CWRU and JNU) demonstrate that the proposed method achieves superior diagnostic accuracy while significantly reducing computational costs. Comprehensive ablation studies validate the effectiveness of each component, highlighting the robustness and adaptability of the approach across diverse working conditions.

Spatial Graph Convolutional Neural Network via Structured Subdomain Adaptation and Domain Adversarial Learning for Bearing Fault Diagnosis

Unsupervised domain adaptation (UDA) has shown remarkable results in bearing fault diagnosis under changing working conditions in recent years. However, most UDA methods do not consider the geometric structure of the data. Furthermore, the global domain adaptation technique is commonly applied, which ignores the relation between subdomains. This paper addresses mentioned challenges by presenting the novel deep subdomain adaptation graph convolution neural network (DSAGCN), which has two key characteristics: First, graph convolution neural network (GCNN) is employed to model the structure of data. Second, adversarial domain adaptation and local maximum mean discrepancy (LMMD) methods are applied concurrently to align the subdomain's distribution and reduce structure discrepancy between relevant subdomains and global domains. CWRU and Paderborn bearing datasets are used to validate the DSAGCN method's efficiency and superiority between comparison models. The experimental results demonstrate the significance of aligning structured subdomains along with domain adaptation methods to obtain an accurate data-driven model in unsupervised fault diagnosis.