Abstract:Several performance metrics for quantifying the in-game performances of individual football players have been proposed in recent years. Although the majority of the on-the-ball actions during games constitutes of passes, many of the currently available metrics focus on measuring the quality of shots only. To help bridge this gap, we propose a novel approach to measure players' on-the-ball contributions from passes during games. Our proposed approach measures the expected impact of each pass on the scoreline.
Abstract:Assessing the impact of the individual actions performed by soccer players during games is a crucial aspect of the player recruitment process. Unfortunately, most traditional metrics fall short in addressing this task as they either focus on rare events like shots and goals alone or fail to account for the context in which the actions occurred. This paper introduces a novel advanced soccer metric for valuing any type of individual player action on the pitch, be it with or without the ball. Our metric values each player action based on its impact on the game outcome while accounting for the circumstances under which the action happened. When applied to on-the-ball actions like passes, dribbles, and shots alone, our metric identifies Argentine forward Lionel Messi, French teenage star Kylian Mbapp\'e, and Belgian winger Eden Hazard as the most effective players during the 2016/2017 season.