Online Estimation of Multiple Dynamic Graphs in Pattern Sequences

Many time-series data including text, movies, and biological signals can be represented as sequences of correlated binary patterns. These patterns may be described by weighted combinations of a few dominant structures that underpin specific interactions among the binary elements. To extract the dominant correlation structures and their contributions to generating data in a time-dependent manner, we model the dynamics of binary patterns using the state-space model of an Ising-type network that is composed of multiple undirected graphs. We provide a sequential Bayes algorithm to estimate the dynamics of weights on the graphs while gaining the graph structures online. This model can uncover overlapping graphs underlying the data better than a traditional orthogonal decomposition method, and outperforms an original time-dependent full Ising model. We assess the performance of the method by simulated data, and demonstrate that spontaneous activity of cultured hippocampal neurons is represented by dynamics of multiple graphs.

State-space analysis of an Ising model reveals contributions of pairwise interactions to sparseness, fluctuation, and stimulus coding of monkey V1 neurons

In this study, we analyzed the activity of monkey V1 neurons responding to grating stimuli of different orientations using inference methods for a time-dependent Ising model. The method provides optimal estimation of time-dependent neural interactions with credible intervals according to the sequential Bayes estimation algorithm. Furthermore, it allows us to trace dynamics of macroscopic network properties such as entropy, sparseness, and fluctuation. Here we report that, in all examined stimulus conditions, pairwise interactions contribute to increasing sparseness and fluctuation. We then demonstrate that the orientation of the grating stimulus is in part encoded in the pairwise interactions of the neural populations. These results demonstrate the utility of the state-space Ising model in assessing contributions of neural interactions during stimulus processing.