i-EM S.r.l
Abstract:Hydropower plants are one of the most convenient option for power generation, as they generate energy exploiting a renewable source, they have relatively low operating and maintenance costs, and they may be used to provide ancillary services, exploiting the large reservoirs of available water. The recent advances in Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) and in machine learning methodologies are seen as fundamental enablers to upgrade and modernize the current operation of most hydropower plants, in terms of condition monitoring, early diagnostics and eventually predictive maintenance. While very few works, or running technologies, have been documented so far for the hydro case, in this paper we propose a novel Key Performance Indicator (KPI) that we have recently developed and tested on operating hydropower plants. In particular, we show that after more than one year of operation it has been able to identify several faults, and to support the operation and maintenance tasks of plant operators. Also, we show that the proposed KPI outperforms conventional multivariable process control charts, like the Hotelling $t_2$ index.
Abstract:This paper presents a novel and flexible solution for fault prediction based on data collected from SCADA system. Fault prediction is offered at two different levels based on a data-driven approach: (a) generic fault/status prediction and (b) specific fault class prediction, implemented by means of two different machine learning based modules built on an unsupervised clustering algorithm and a Pattern Recognition Neural Network, respectively. Model has been assessed on a park of six photovoltaic (PV) plants up to 10 MW and on more than one hundred inverter modules of three different technology brands. The results indicate that the proposed method is effective in (a) predicting incipient generic faults up to 7 days in advance with sensitivity up to 95% and (b) anticipating damage of specific fault classes with times ranging from few hours up to 7 days. The model is easily deployable for on-line monitoring of anomalies on new PV plants and technologies, requiring only the availability of historical SCADA and fault data, fault taxonomy and inverter electrical datasheet. Keywords: Data Mining, Fault Prediction, Inverter Module, Key Performance Indicator, Lost Production