Abstract:We present a novel filtering algorithm that employs Bayesian transfer learning to address the challenges posed by mismatched intensity of the noise in a pair of sensors, each of which tracks an object using a nonlinear dynamic system model. In this setting, the primary sensor experiences a higher noise intensity in tracking the object than the source sensor. To improve the estimation accuracy of the primary sensor, we propose a framework that integrates Bayesian transfer learning into an Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF) and a Cubature Kalman Filter (CKF). In this approach, the parameters of the predicted observations in the source sensor are transferred to the primary sensor and used as an additional prior in the filtering process. Our simulation results show that the transfer learning approach significantly outperforms the conventional isolated UKF and CKF. Comparisons to a form of measurement vector fusion are also presented.
Abstract:Operating securely over 5G (and legacy) infrastructure is a challenge. In non-cooperative networks, malicious actors may try to decipher, block encrypted messages, or specifically jam wireless radio systems. Such activities can disrupt operations, from causing minor inconvenience, through to fully paralyzing the functionality of critical infrastructure. While technological mitigation measures do exist, there are very few methods capable of assessing the socio-economic impacts from different mitigation strategies. This leads to a lack of robust evidence to inform cost-benefit analysis, and thus support decision makers in industry and government. Consequently, this paper presents two open-source simulation models for assessing the socio-economic impacts of operating in untrusted non-cooperative networks. The first focuses on using multiple non-cooperative networks to transmit a message. The second model simulates a case where a message is converted into alternative plain language to avoid detection, separated into different portions and then transmitted over multiple non-cooperative networks. A probabilistic simulation of the two models is performed for a 15 km by 15 km spatial grid with 5 untrusted non-cooperative networks and intercepting agents. The results are used to estimate economic losses for private, commercial, government and military sectors. The highest probabilistic total losses for military applications include US$300, US$150, and US$75, incurred for a 1, 3 and 5 site multi-transmission approach, respectively, for non-cooperative networks when considering 1,000 texts being sent. These results form a framework for deterministic socio-economic impact analysis of using non-cooperative networks and secure texting as protection against radio network attacks. The simulation data and the open-source codebase is provided for reproducibility.