Predicting suicidal behavior among Indian adults using childhood trauma, mental health questionnaires and machine learning cascade ensembles

Among young adults, suicide is India's leading cause of death, accounting for an alarming national suicide rate of around 16%. In recent years, machine learning algorithms have emerged to predict suicidal behavior using various behavioral traits. But to date, the efficacy of machine learning algorithms in predicting suicidal behavior in the Indian context has not been explored in literature. In this study, different machine learning algorithms and ensembles were developed to predict suicide behavior based on childhood trauma, different mental health parameters, and other behavioral factors. The dataset was acquired from 391 individuals from a wellness center in India. Information regarding their childhood trauma, psychological wellness, and other mental health issues was acquired through standardized questionnaires. Results revealed that cascade ensemble learning methods using a support vector machine, decision trees, and random forest were able to classify suicidal behavior with an accuracy of 95.04% using data from childhood trauma and mental health questionnaires. The study highlights the potential of using these machine learning ensembles to identify individuals with suicidal tendencies so that targeted interinterventions could be provided efficiently.

Prediction of multitasking performance post-longitudinal tDCS via EEG-based functional connectivity and machine learning methods

Predicting and understanding the changes in cognitive performance, especially after a longitudinal intervention, is a fundamental goal in neuroscience. Longitudinal brain stimulation-based interventions like transcranial direct current stimulation (tDCS) induce short-term changes in the resting membrane potential and influence cognitive processes. However, very little research has been conducted on predicting these changes in cognitive performance post-intervention. In this research, we intend to address this gap in the literature by employing different EEG-based functional connectivity analyses and machine learning algorithms to predict changes in cognitive performance in a complex multitasking task. Forty subjects were divided into experimental and active-control conditions. On Day 1, all subjects executed a multitasking task with simultaneous 32-channel EEG being acquired. From Day 2 to Day 7, subjects in the experimental condition undertook 15 minutes of 2mA anodal tDCS stimulation during task training. Subjects in the active-control condition undertook 15 minutes of sham stimulation during task training. On Day 10, all subjects again executed the multitasking task with EEG acquisition. Source-level functional connectivity metrics, namely phase lag index and directed transfer function, were extracted from the EEG data on Day 1 and Day 10. Various machine learning models were employed to predict changes in cognitive performance. Results revealed that the multi-layer perceptron and directed transfer function recorded a cross-validation training RMSE of 5.11% and a test RMSE of 4.97%. We discuss the implications of our results in developing real-time cognitive state assessors for accurately predicting cognitive performance in dynamic and complex tasks post-tDCS intervention

Classification of executive functioning performance post-longitudinal tDCS using functional connectivity and machine learning methods

Executive functioning is a cognitive process that enables humans to plan, organize, and regulate their behavior in a goal-directed manner. Understanding and classifying the changes in executive functioning after longitudinal interventions (like transcranial direct current stimulation (tDCS)) has not been explored in the literature. This study employs functional connectivity and machine learning algorithms to classify executive functioning performance post-tDCS. Fifty subjects were divided into experimental and placebo control groups. EEG data was collected while subjects performed an executive functioning task on Day 1. The experimental group received tDCS during task training from Day 2 to Day 8, while the control group received sham tDCS. On Day 10, subjects repeated the tasks specified on Day 1. Different functional connectivity metrics were extracted from EEG data and eventually used for classifying executive functioning performance using different machine learning algorithms. Results revealed that a novel combination of partial directed coherence and multi-layer perceptron (along with recursive feature elimination) resulted in a high classification accuracy of 95.44%. We discuss the implications of our results in developing real-time neurofeedback systems for assessing and enhancing executive functioning performance post-tDCS administration.