Crime Rate Prediction with Region Risk and Movement Patterns

The location-based social network, FourSquare, helps us to understand a city's mass human mobility. It provides data that characterises the volume of movements across regions and Places of Interests(POIs) to explore the crime dynamics of a city. To fully exploit human movement into crime analysis, we propose the region risk factor which combines monthly aggregated crime and human movement of a region across different time intervals. We then derive a number of features using the region risk factor and conduct extensive experiments with real world data in multiple cities that verify the effectiveness of these features.